In the first of a series
of articles, I look at how American players fare abroad. This research project was given to me by a
Twitter follower – so if you would like me to analyse/research something for
you then please get in touch. There will
be a number of articles and resources added between now and the start of the
season in January.
I’m splitting this
analysis into a number of categories – US male players in the top 150 playing non-US/Canadian
main draw ATP events only (split into European and Asian/Australasian events), those same players playing US based events, South
American players with any rank playing European Challengers (this research area
was specifically suggested) and US female players in the top 150 playing
non-US/Canadian WTA events (split into European and Asian/Australasian events) and those same players playing US based events.
For clarity, my policy on
retirements here was void them if the first set wasn’t completed, and I’m using
Pinnacle Sports starting prices for my analysis.
There are currently 16 US
players in the ATP top 100 with John Isner – ranked 16 – leading the pack. Only him and Sam Querrey are currently ranked
inside the top 75 in the world.
John Isner’s results in Europe do not make pleasant reading for his fans…
There’s been a fair amount
said previously about a potential negative mindset with American players abroad
so this analysis will see whether that is indeed the case…
Here’s the data for each
player’s European matches:-
John Isner:
2012 – 15 matches, 7 wins –
best win vs Janko Tipsarevic (SP 2.29), worst defeat vs Alejandro Falla (SP
1.14).
Profit/Loss to level £100
stakes = -£517 (ROI -34.47%).
2013 – 10 matches, 4 wins –
best win vs Carlos Berlocq (SP 2.42), worst defeat vs Evgeny Donskoy (SP 1.18).
Profit/Loss to level £100
stakes = -£312 (ROI -31.20%)
2012/2013 Combined – 25 matches,
11 wins – Profit/Loss to level £100 stakes = -£829 (ROI -33.16%).
Sam Querrey:
2012 – 18 matches, 11 wins
– best win vs Novak Djokovic (SP 7.90), worst defeat vs Mikhail Kukushkin (SP
1.51).
Profit/Loss to level £100
stakes = +£829 (ROI 46.06%)
2013 – 13 matches, 6 wins –
best win vs Paul-Henri Mathieu (SP 1.67), worst defeat vs Bernard Tomic (SP
1.88).
Profit/Loss to level £100
stakes = -£400 (ROI -30.77%)
2012/2013 Combined – 31 matches,
17 wins – Profit/Loss to level £100 stakes = +£429 (ROI 13.84%).
Jack Sock:
2012 – no matches
2013 – 2 matches, 1 win –
best win vs Guillermo Garcia-Lopez (SP 3.39), worst defeat vs Tommy Haas (SP
6.24).
Profit/Loss to level £100
stakes = +£239 (ROI 119.50%)
Denis Kudla:
2012 – no matches
2013 – 7 matches, 4 wins –
best win vs Benoit Paire (SP 3.99), worst defeat vs Jan Hajek (SP 3.09).
Profit/Loss to level £100
stakes = +£229 (ROI 32.71%)
Michael Russell:
2012 – 4 matches, 2 wins –
best win vs Adrian Mannarino (SP 3.62), worst defeat vs Julien Benneteau (SP
5.29).
Profit/Loss to level £100
stakes = +£107 (ROI 26.75%).
2013 – 4 matches, 0 wins –
best win N/A, worst defeat vs Grega Zemlja (SP 3.65).
Profit/Loss to level £100
stakes = -£400 (ROI -100%).
2012/2013 Combined – 8 matches,
2 wins – Profit/Loss to level £100 stakes = -£293 (ROI -36.63%)
Tim Smyczek:
2012 – 1 match, 0 wins –
best win N/A, worst defeat to Florian Mayer (SP 4.25).
Profit/Loss to level £100
stakes = -£100 (ROI -100%).
2013 – no matches.
2012/2013 Combined – 1 match,
0 wins – Profit/Loss to level £100 stakes = -£100 (ROI -100%).
Ryan Harrison:
2012 – 11 matches, 5 wins –
best win vs Denis Istomin (SP 2.58), worst defeat vs Santiago Giraldo (SP
1.51).
Profit/Loss to level £100
stakes = -£125 (ROI -11.36%).
2013 – 7 matches, 2 wins –
best win vs Andrey Kuznetsov (SP 2.87), worst defeat vs Jarkko Nieminen (SP
2.12).
Profit/Loss to level £100
stakes = -£247 (ROI -35.29%).
2012/2013 Combined – 18 matches,
7 wins – Profit/Loss to level £100 stakes = -£372 (ROI -20.67%).
Alex Kuznetsov:
2012 – no matches
2013 – 2 matches, 0 wins –
best win N/A, worst defeat vs Lucas Pouille (SP 1.57).
Profit/Loss to level £100
stakes = -£200 (ROI -100%).
2012/2013 Combined – 2 matches,
0 wins – Profit/Loss to level £100 stakes = -£200 (ROI -100%).
Rajeev Ram:
2012 – 4 matches, 1 win –
best win vs Matthias Bachinger (SP 2.63), worst defeat vs Malek Jaziri (SP
1.99).
Profit/Loss to level £100
stakes = -£137 (ROI -34.25%).
2013 – 3 matches, 1 win –
best win vs Lukas Lacko (SP 1.81), worst defeat vs Kenny De Schepper (SP 2.57).
Profit/Loss to level £100
stakes = -£119 (ROI -39.67%).
2012/2013 Combined – 7 matches,
2 wins – Profit/Loss to level £100 stakes = -£256 (ROI -36.57%).
Rhyne Williams:
2012 – no matches
2013 – 2 matches, 0 wins –
best win N/A, worst defeat vs Michal Przysiezny (SP 2.00).
Profit/Loss to level £100
stakes = -£200 (ROI -100%)
2012/2013 Combined – 2 matches,
0 wins – Profit/Loss to level £100 stakes = -£200 (ROI -100%).
Donald Young:
2012 – 10 matches, 1 win –
best win vs Fabio Fognini (SP 2.57), worst defeat vs Jamie Baker (SP 1.79).
Profit/Loss to level £100
stakes = -£743 (ROI -82.56%).
2013 – no matches
2012/2013 Combined – 10 matches,
1 win – Profit/Loss to level £100 stakes = -£743 (ROI -82.56%).
James Blake:
2012 – 4 matches, 1 win –
best win vs Albano Olivetti (SP 1.55), worst defeat vs Florian Mayer (SP 1.81).
Profit/Loss to level £100
stakes = -£245 (ROI -61.25%).
2013 – 4 matches, 1 win –
best win vs Thiemo De Bakker (SP 1.87), worst defeat vs Albert Ramos (SP 1.42).
Profit/Loss to level £100
stakes = -£213 (ROI -53.25%).
2012/2013 Combined – 8 matches,
2 wins – Profit/Loss to level £100 stakes = -£458 (ROI -57.25%).
Bradley Klahn:
2012 – no matches
2013 – no matches
Wayne Odesnik:
2012 – 7 matches, 4 wins –
best win vs Blaz Kavcic (SP 2.69), worst defeat vs Bjorn Phau (SP 1.53).
Profit/Loss to level £100
stakes = +£263 (ROI 37.57%).
2013 – 1 match, 0 wins –
best win N/A, worst defeat vs Jimmy Wang (SP 2.83).
Profit/Loss to level £100
stakes = -£100 (ROI -100%).
2012/2013 Combined – 8
matches, 4 wins – Profit/Loss to level £100 stakes = +£163 (ROI 20.38%).
Bobby Reynolds:
2012 – 3 matches, 1 win –
best win vs Attila Balazs (SP 2.74), worst defeat vs Grigor Dimitrov (SP 4.00).
Profit/Loss to level £100
stakes = -£26 (ROI -8.67%).
2013 – 2 matches, 1 win –
best win vs Steve Johnson (fellow American – SP 2.58), worst defeat vs Novak
Djokovic (SP 35.52).
Profit/Loss to level £100
stakes = £58 (ROI 29%).
2012/2013 Combined – 5 matches,
2 wins – Profit/Loss to level £100 stakes = £32 (ROI 6.40%).
Overall Combined US Top 150
Stats:-
2012 – 77 matches, 33 wins
– Profit/Loss to level £100 stakes = -£694 (ROI -9.01%)
2013 – 57 matches, 20 wins
– Profit/Loss to level £100 stakes = -£1665 (ROI -29.21%)
2012/2013 Combined – 134 matches,
53 wins – Profit/Loss to level £100 stakes = -£2359 (-17.60%)
Clearly we can see from
the combined stats that US men have struggled badly in European matches. Whether this is due to
scheduling/travel/jetlag issues or just a negative mindset of Americans abroad,
a blanket strategy of laying American players in the top 150 can definitely be
considered.
